Projected population, inequality and social expenditures: The Case of Flanders
- KU Leuven, Belgium
- Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium
Cite this article
as: R. De Blander, I. Schockaert, A. Decoster, P. Deboosere; 2017; Projected population, inequality and social expenditures: The Case of Flanders; International Journal of Microsimulation; 10(3); 92-133.
doi: 10.34196/ijm.00167
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Figures
Figure 1
The macro-economic growth rate resulting from both effciency and demographic growth.
Figure 2
Population pyramid 2011 – 2031.
Figure 3
Couples with children by age and sex.
Figure 4
Couples without children by age and sex.
Figure 5
Single-headed household-heads by age and sex.
Figure 6
Population and educational attainment by age and sex.
Figure 7
Inequality measure: Gini coefficient.
Figure 8
Inequality measure: Theil index.
Figure 9
Relative poverty rate.
Figure 10
People in poverty.
Figure 11
Monthly poverty gap per poor household.
Figure 12
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and educational attainment, period 2011–2031.
Figure 13
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and educational attainment, period 2011–2021.
Figure 14
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and household position, period 2011–2031.
Figure 15
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and household position, period 2011–2021.
Figure 16
Decomposition of poverty change by age and educational attainment.
Figure 17
Decomposition of poverty change by age and household position.
Figure 18
Evolution of income taxes and social security contributions as a percentage of total income.
Figure 19
Evolution of all social security payments received as a percentage of total income.
Figure 20
Net yearly payments made.
Figure 21
Evolution of income taxes.
Figure 22
Evolution of social security contributions.
Figure 23
Evolution of different types of child support.
Figure 24
Evolution of minimum income.
Figure 25
Evolution of Unemployment benefits.
Figure 26
Evolution of Pensions.
Figure A.1
The EU-SILC questionnaire on relationships among household members.
Notes: Note that “voorgedrukt” and “voorg” means that the information is taken directly from the National Register. The interviewer only verifies it. Source: National Register of Belgium.
Figure A.2
Comparison of the population distribution by age and sex in EU-SILC and the projection, SING, MAR0, MAR+.
Figure A.3
Comparison of the population distribution by age and sex in EU-SILC and the projection, UNM0, UNM+, H1PA.
Tables
Table 1
Projection scenarios.
| Period | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 2011–15 | 2016–20 | 2021–25 | 2026–30 | ||
| Fertility (births per woman) | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 1.72 | 1.70 | |
| Life expectancy (years) | Female | 82.7 | 83.2 | 83.8 | 84.4 | 85.0 |
| Male | 76.9 | 77.7 | 78.7 | 79.6 | 80.7 | |
| Net migration (rate/base rate) | 1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1 | |
| Educat. retent. (rate/base rate) | 1 | 1.065 | 1.13 | 1.195 | 1.25 | |
Table 2
Up-rate factors.
| year | factor |
|---|---|
| 2011 | 1.030 |
| 2016 | 1.083 |
| 2021 | 1.138 |
| 2026 | 1.196 |
| 2031 | 1.257 |
Table A.1
Rules for creating a LIPRO-typology in EU-SILC.
| SING | only individual living in the household |
| H1PA | someone’s parent and without partner |
| MAR0 | married with partner and not someone’s parent |
| MAR+ | married with partner and is someone’s parent |
| UNM0 | someone’s partner (one of both unmarried) and not someone’s parent |
| UNM+ | someone’s partner (one of both unmarried) and someone’s parent |
| CMAR | has a parent with a partner, both are married |
| CUNM | has a parent with a partner, one of both is unmarried currently married |
| C1PA | has a parent without partner |
| OTHR or NFR | All other positions |
| COLL | Collective households are excluded from EU-SILC |
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