1. Demography
  2. Taxes and benefits
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Projected population, inequality and social expenditures: The Case of Flanders

  1. Rembert De Blander  Is a corresponding author
  2. Ingrid Schockaert  Is a corresponding author
  3. André Decoster  Is a corresponding author
  4. Patrick Deboosere  Is a corresponding author
  1. KU Leuven, Belgium
  2. Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium
Research article
Cite this article as: R. De Blander, I. Schockaert, A. Decoster, P. Deboosere; 2017; Projected population, inequality and social expenditures: The Case of Flanders; International Journal of Microsimulation; 10(3); 92-133. doi: 10.34196/ijm.00167
29 figures and 3 tables

Figures

The macro-economic growth rate resulting from both effciency and demographic growth.
Population pyramid 2011 – 2031.
Couples with children by age and sex.
Couples without children by age and sex.
Single-headed household-heads by age and sex.
Population and educational attainment by age and sex.
Inequality measure: Gini coefficient.
Inequality measure: Theil index.
Relative poverty rate.
People in poverty.
Monthly poverty gap per poor household.
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and educational attainment, period 2011–2031.
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and educational attainment, period 2011–2021.
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and household position, period 2011–2031.
Decomposition of the change in Theil index with respect to sub-populations by age and household position, period 2011–2021.
Decomposition of poverty change by age and educational attainment.
Decomposition of poverty change by age and household position.
Evolution of income taxes and social security contributions as a percentage of total income.
Evolution of all social security payments received as a percentage of total income.
Net yearly payments made.
Evolution of income taxes.
Evolution of social security contributions.
Evolution of different types of child support.
Evolution of minimum income.
Evolution of Unemployment benefits.
Evolution of Pensions.
The EU-SILC questionnaire on relationships among household members.

Notes: Note that “voorgedrukt” and “voorg” means that the information is taken directly from the National Register. The interviewer only verifies it. Source: National Register of Belgium.

Comparison of the population distribution by age and sex in EU-SILC and the projection, SING, MAR0, MAR+.
Comparison of the population distribution by age and sex in EU-SILC and the projection, UNM0, UNM+, H1PA.

Tables

Table 1
Projection scenarios.
Period
2006–10 2011–15 2016–20 2021–25 2026–30
Fertility (births per woman) 1.73 1.82 1.76 1.72 1.70
Life expectancy (years) Female 82.7 83.2 83.8 84.4 85.0
Male 76.9 77.7 78.7 79.6 80.7
Net migration (rate/base rate) 1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1
Educat. retent. (rate/base rate) 1 1.065 1.13 1.195 1.25
Table 2
Up-rate factors.
year factor
2011 1.030
2016 1.083
2021 1.138
2026 1.196
2031 1.257
Table A.1
Rules for creating a LIPRO-typology in EU-SILC.
SING only individual living in the household
H1PA someone’s parent and without partner
MAR0 married with partner and not someone’s parent
MAR+ married with partner and is someone’s parent
UNM0 someone’s partner (one of both unmarried) and not someone’s parent
UNM+ someone’s partner (one of both unmarried) and someone’s parent
CMAR has a parent with a partner, both are married
CUNM has a parent with a partner, one of both is unmarried currently married
C1PA has a parent without partner
OTHR or NFR All other positions
COLL Collective households are excluded from EU-SILC

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