Consumption, savings and wealth

Research articles · Aug 31, 2023

Trends in Income and Expenditure Inequality in the 1980s and 1990s: A Re-Examination and Further Results

Ann Harding, Harry Greenwell

NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia. This article originally appeared as a NATSEM Discussion Paper no. 57 in June 2002.

Volume 16(2) Summer 2023

Cite as: A. Harding, H. Greenwell; 2023; Trends in Income and Expenditure Inequality in the 1980s and 1990s: A Re-Examination and Further Results; International Journal of Microsimulation; 16(2); 14–37. doi: 10.34196/ijm.00281

Abstract

This paper considers trends in income and expenditure inequality in Australia, using unit record file data from the last four Household Expenditure Surveys (1984, 1988-89, 1993-94 and 1998-99) and four Income Distribution Surveys (1990, 1994-95, 1995-96 and 1997-98) conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The results suggest that income inequality increased during the 1990s, but that expenditure inequality remained stable. This paper is a revised version of Discussion Paper no. 56. This version corrects an incorrect equivalence scale used in the earlier work on expenditures for 1993-94 and adds results on current non-durable expenditure. In addition, it has now emerged that these results can be regarded as only preliminary, as the ABS revealed in April this year that it has concerns about the accuracy of the data for low income families in the income and expenditure surveys and intends to release revised versions of the unit record files.

This article contains 8 figures and 10 tables.

Figures

Figure 1. Gini coefficients for equivalent disposable income using the Household Expenditure Surveys 1988-89, 1993-94 and 1998-99.. Note: The results for 1984 are not included here because in 1984 negative incomes were already set to zero by the ABS. The ‘negative incomes set to zero’ Lorenz curves cross between 1993-94 and 1998-99. Consequently, no conclusion can be drawn about the change in inequality during that period.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.
Figure 2. Real incomes at different points in the income distribution, Household Expenditure Surveys 1988-89, 1993-94 and 1998-99.. Note: The income measure is the International equivalent weekly disposable household income of individuals. All incomes have been adjusted for inflation to March 2001 dollars.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.
Figure 3. Share of equivalent disposable income by income decile, Household Expenditure Surveys 1988-89, 1993-94 and 1998-99.. Note: The income measure is the international equivalent weekly disposable household income of individuals. All incomes have been adjusted for inflation to March 2001 dollars.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.
Figure 4. Gini coefficients for equivalent disposable household income from the expenditure and income surveys.. Note: The Lorenz curves cross for the Household Expenditure Survey between 1993-94 and 1998-99 and for the Survey of Income and Housing Costs between 1994-95 and 1997-98. Consequently, no conclusion can be drawn about the change in inequality during these periods.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey and Survey of Income and Housing Costs unit record files.
Figure 5. Share of equivalent current expenditure, by decile of equivalent current expenditure.. Note: Deciles are constructed by ranking all Australians by the equivalent current expenditure of their household.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.
Figure 6. Share of equivalent total expenditure, by decile of equivalent total expenditure.. Note: Deciles are constructed by ranking all Australians by the equivalent total expenditure of their household.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.
Figure 7. Ratio of equivalent current expenditure to equivalent disposable income, by decile of equivalent disposable income.. Note: Deciles are constructed by ranking all Australians by the equivalent disposable income of their household.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.
Figure 8. Ratio of equivalent total expenditure to equivalent disposable income, by decile of equivalent disposable income.. Note: Deciles are constructed by ranking all Australians by the equivalent disposable income of their household.Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.

Tables

Table 1. Indicators of income inequality from Household Expenditure Surveys
1984*1988-891993-941998-99Change 1988-89 to 1998-99
Income at points in the distribution$$$$%
95th percentile1 7881 7701 8862 10318.8
90th percentile1 5111 5331 5931 77515.8
75th percentile1 1251 1551 1911 31814.1
Mean8849089211 01111.4
Median77180480189010.7
25th percentile5175425335868.1
10th percentile3823934064104.2
5th percentile339343335327-4.6
Percentile income ratios
95:10 (very top:bottom)4.634.504.645.1314.1
90:10 (top:bottom)4.013.903.924.3311.2
90:50 (top:middle)1.991.911.992.004.6
50:10 (middle:bottom)2.022.041.972.176.2
Decile shares of income%%%%
Bottom 10%3.43.23.12.7-14.7
Middle 20%17.617.817.417.6-1.2
Top 10%22.422.222.622.51.3
Unemployment rate9.06.410.27.415.6

Note: The income measure is the international equivalent weekly disposable household income of individuals. All incomes have been adjusted for inflation to March 2001 dollars. The 95:10 ratio is the ratio of the income of the 95th percentile of the income distribution to the income of the 10th percentile of the income distribution.

Source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.

The 1984 figures are not fully comparable and should be interpreted with caution because the method for imputing income tax differs in that year. See appendix A for details.

Table 2. Indicators of income inequality from income surveys
19901994-951995-961997-98Change 1990 to 1997-98
Income at points in the distribution$$$$%
95th percentile1 9672 0211 9592 1217.9
90th percentile1 7091 7221 6721 8437.8
75th percentile1 3261 3141 3101 3904.9
Mean1 0251 0199981 0734.7
Median9449259129561.3
25th percentile6245975896250.1
10th percentile4434244174491.5
5th percentile3643543483763.2
Ratios
95:10 (very top:bottom)4.444.774.694.726.3
90:10 (top:bottom)3.864.064.014.106.3
90:50 (top:middle)1.811.861.831.936.4
50:10 (middle:bottom)2.132.182.182.13-0.1
Decile shares%%%%
Bottom 10%3.13.03.13.0-3.1
Middle 20%18.318.218.217.8-2.7
Top 10%20.922.021.422.05.6

Note: The Lorenz curves cross between 1994-95 and 1997-98. Consequently, no conclusion can be drawn about the change in inequality during this period. All incomes have been adjusted for inflation to March 2001 dollars. The income measure is the international equivalent weekly disposable household income of individuals.

Source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey and income survey unit record files.

Table 3. Gini coefficients and shares for expenditure and income
19841988-891993-941998-99Change 1984 to 1998-99
Gini coefficients*%
Equivalent disposable income0.2980.2950.3060.3114.4
Equivalent current expenditure0.2980.3010.2970.3021.3
Equivalent total expenditure0.3340.3600.3620.3515.1
Equivalent non-durable expenditure†na0.2750.2710.2770.7
Share of bottom quintile%%%%
Disposable income8.28.18.07.4-10.3
Current expenditure8.37.98.38.2-0.9
Total expenditure6.85.15.76.0-12.6
Share of middle quintile%%%%
Disposable income17.617.817.417.6-0.3
Current expenditure17.417.617.417.4-0.4
Total expenditure17.117.516.917.1-0.5
Share of top quintile%%%%
Disposable income37.837.438.238.21.1
Current expenditure38.138.038.038.30.5
Total expenditure40.341.242.041.22.3

Note: The income and expenditure measures are the international equivalent disposable household income and expenditure of individuals.

Source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.

The Lorenz curves cross in the following cases: for disposable income between 1993-94 and 1998-99; for current expenditure for all cases except between 1984 and 1998-99; and for total expenditure between 1988-89 and 1993-94, between 1988-89 and 1998-99 and between 1993-94 and 1998-99. Consequently, no conclusion can be drawn about the change in inequality during these periods.

Durable items are defined in appendix B. Non-durables items are all other items. Note that the Lorenz curves for non-durable expenditure have not been checked to determine whether they cross.

Table 4. Proportion of people in deciles of current and current non-durable expenditure, 1998-99
Decile of equivalent current non-durable expenditure*
12345678910
Decile of equivalent current expenditure%%%%%%%%%%
18.571.300.040.030.010.020.000.000.010.01
20.706.033.110.110.020.010.030.000.000.00
30.161.484.403.920.020.000.010.000.000.00
40.180.580.973.444.650.160.000.010.000.00
50.070.180.631.143.064.570.340.010.000.00
60.110.180.390.720.942.914.470.290.000.00
70.090.100.270.300.701.092.684.550.200.00
80.060.070.110.150.390.701.542.854.100.01
90.020.100.030.100.130.390.771.684.122.65
100.000.010.040.050.100.140.180.591.567.36

Note: Expenditure measures are the international equivalent disposable household expenditure of individuals.

Source: 1998-99 ABS Household Expenditure Survey unit record file.

Durable items are defined in appendix B. Non-durable items are all other current expenditure items.

Table A1. Sensitivity to unit of analysis: household and income unit Income survey data
1982*19901994-951995-961996-97*1997-98
InternationalHousehold0.2850.2840.2990.2930.2920.302
Income unit0.3120.3140.3220.3220.3150.327
OECDHousehold0.2710.2740.2880.2830.2780.289
Income unit0.3110.3110.3190.3190.3120.325

Note: Negative incomes have been set to zero.

Source: Income Distribution Survey and Survey of Income and Housing Costs unit record files.

Data from 1982 and 1996-97 have not been included in the body of this paper due to concerns about their quality. These data have been reported here for transparency but should be interpreted with caution.

Table A2. Sensitivity to data source: HES and SIHC
HES 1988-89IDS 1990HES 1993-94SIHC 1994-95SIHC 1997-98HES 1998-99
International equivalent0.2950.2840.3060.2990.3020.311

Note: Results for the income and expenditure surveys have been calculated at the household-level and negative incomes were reset to zero in all cases.

Source: Income Distribution Survey, Survey of Income and Housing Costs and Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.

Table A3. Average number of people and children per household, SIHC and HES
SIHC 1994-95SIHC 1995-96SIHC 1996-97SIHC 1997-98HES 1993-94HES 1998-99
Persons2.842.832.882.862.632.60
Dependent children (<18 years)0.590.590.590.590.690.66

Note: To avoid concerns about the quality of data on the number of dependent children in the 1993-94 HES, the standard ABS definition of dependent children was restricted to those aged 0–17 years inclusive.

Source: Survey of Income and Housing Costs and Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.

Table A4. Sensitivity to equivalence scale: SIHC income-unit-level results
1982*19901994-951995-961996-97*1997-98
International0.3120.3140.3220.3220.3150.327
OECD0.3110.3110.3190.3190.3120.325
Simplified Henderson0.2920.2850.2960.2940.2870.301

Note: Negative incomes have been set to zero. Source: Income Distribution Survey and Survey of Income and Housing Costs unit record files.

Source: Income Distribution Survey and Survey of Income and Housing Costs unit record files.

Data from 1982 and 1996-97 have not been included in the body of this paper due to concerns about data quality. Results from these data have been reported here for transparency but should be interpreted with caution.

Table A5. Sensitivity to equivalence scale: HES household-level results
19841988-891993-941998-99
International0.2980.2950.3060.311
OECD*0.2900.2860.2980.303

Note: Negative incomes have been set to zero.

Source: Household Expenditure Survey unit record files.

The OECD scale has been applied to ABS dependent children aged 0–17 years inclusive. This deviation from the ABS definition was adopted to avoid concerns about the quality of data on the number of dependent children in the 1993-94 HES.

Table A6. Sensitivity to resetting negative incomes: SIHC household-level results
1994-951995-961996-97*1997-98
InternationalSet to zero0.2990.2930.2920.302
Not set to zero0.3060.2990.2970.306
OECDSet to zero0.2880.2830.2780.289
Not set to zero0.2950.2890.2820.293

Source: Survey of Income and Housing Costs Survey unit record files.

Data from 1996-97 have not been included in the body of this paper due to concerns about data quality. Results from this year have been reported here for transparency but should be interpreted with caution.