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Research articles · Dec 2, 2024

Allocation and Growth Effects of Corporate Income Taxes-Some Experiments in Quantification on a Micro-to-Macro Model of the Swedish Economy

Gunnar Eliasson, Thomas Lindberg

Volume 17(2) Summer 2024

Cite as: G. Eliasson, T. Lindberg; 2024; Allocation and Growth Effects of Corporate Income Taxes-Some Experiments in Quantification on a Micro-to-Macro Model of the Swedish Economy; International Journal of Microsimulation; 17(2); 157–180. doi: 10.34196/ijm.00294

This article contains 9 figures and 2 tables.

Figures

Figure 1. Share of investment, employment, va0lue added and operating profits in percent of total manufacturing for Engineering industries and Raw material* based industries.
Figure 2. Relative export prices 1950-1987. Index 100 = average price for all exports.
Figure 3. (A) Investments in Total Manufacturing, 1968-1987. Index 100 = Reference base case. (B) Private Consumption, 1968-1987. Index 100 = Reference base case.
Figure 4. Total Manufacturing Output, 1968-1987. Index 100 = average price for all exports.
Figure 5. (A) Ratio of Investment in Raw Materials Production (RAW) and in Engineering (DUR), 1950-1987. (B) Employment in Engineering (DUR) in percent of Total Manufacturing Employment, 1950-1987. (C) Employment in Raw Materials Production (RAW) in percent of Total Manufacturing Employment, 1950-1987. (D) Operating Profits in Engineering (DUR) in percent of Profits in Total Manufacturing, 1950-1987. (E) Operating Profits in Raw Materials Production (RAW) in percent of Profits in Total Manufacturing, 1950-1987. (F) Value Added in Engineering (DUR) in percent of Value Added in Total Manufacturing, 1950-1987. (G) Value Added in Raw Materials Production (RAW) in percent of Value Added in Total Manufacturing, 1950-1987.
Figure 6. (A) Rate of Return on Total Assets before Tax, 1968-1987. Total Manufacturing. Index 100 = Reference base case. (B) Rate of Return on Total Assets before Tax, 1968-1987. Engineering (DUR) in Relation to Total Manufacturing. Index 100 = Reference base case. (C) Rate of Return on Total Assets before Tax, 1968-1987. Raw Materials Production (RAW) in Relation to Total Manufacturing. Index 100 = Reference base case
Figure 7. Rate of Taxation* in Total Manufacturing, 1968-1987. Index 100 = Reference base case
Figure 8. Rate of Return on total capital before tax (percent)
Figure 9. Rate of Return on Net Worth before (RWN) and after (RWNT) tax 1979 (Percent).

Tables

Table 2. Real return to total capital before tax. Index 100 = References base case.
ScenarioForeign price developmentFiscal depreciation rateRaw materialsEngineeringTotal industry
1968/771978/871968/871968/771978/871968/871968/771978/871968/87
ANeutral25%1091091099710099989898
5%10515312986898796105100
BSlow25%681039122176149105139122
pivoting5%82--105--99--
CFast25%97236010616413598105101
pivoting5%9720589116612897139118
5-25 %9521589116813096121109

Note: The profitability in the two sectors is expressed in relation to total industry.

Table 1. Investment and output effects of fiscal experiments in manufacturing. In percent of reference base case (= 100) on the average.
InvestmentOutputRaw material outputNumber of firms closed down*
1968-771968-871968-771968-87197419771987
A-EXPERIMENTS Base case, with fast write-off1101101041031001021100
Base case, with slow write-off731051009799971280
B-EXPERIMENTS Slow price pivoting, with fast write-off12312310410989748111
Slow price pivoting, with slow write-off75-100-9476-0
C-EXPERIMENTS
Fast price pivoting with fast write-off110102104102100996412
Fast price pivoting with slow write-off until 198773128991029893587
Fast price pivoting with slow write-off through 1973, then fast871321001049894509

All in raw material sector and after 1980. Initial number of firms in each sector is 15.